Survey: Own car remains the most important means of transport
According to this study, 64 percent of Germans believe that they will still be travelling with their own car in the decade after next. When it comes to mobility in 2030, only 22 percent of car buyers mention networked transport systems and autonomous vehicles as relevant. However, not even one out of six persons believes he (or she) will still be using conventional combustion engines in 2030. It fits into the picture that 60 percent of those surveyed see the e-mobile on the rise until then – but this does not necessarily mean that they would buy one: 42 percent of car buyers would opt for a hybrid drive if only alternative drives were allowed in 2030. In contrast, only 38 percent would choose a pure electric vehicle.
Whether hybrid or electric drive – alternative drives will play a central role in the future: around half of car buyers expect driving bans on certain types of drive in major cities in 13 years’ time. Despite the debate about diesel, individual transport remains the most important component in the mobility mix, not least because less than a quarter of those surveyed assume that public transport will be cheaper than their own car by 2030.
This has not only positive consequences: 68 percent of respondents expect congested inner cities and a higher pollution and noise level. For 52 percent, however, connected cars have the potential to make traffic more efficient and mitigate the negative consequences.
Another way to ease the traffic situation would be to have self-driving cars that are networked among each other and thus enable better traffic control. Every second motorist expects that car manufacturers will be offering such cars by 2030. However, potential buyes are skeptical regarding their own intentions to buy: only 27 percent would buy such a vehicle, 37 percent exclude this for the year 2030.
The car buyers are very positive about assistance systems and believe that networked cars can improve the flow of traffic – but they want to continue to drive their own vehicle in the future. In addition, 54 percent of respondents are not prepared to pay a surcharge for autonomous driving, which makes the development of such systems less attractive for manufacturers.
Whether connected car or self-propelled car – the buyers agree: 67 percent believe that traditional manufacturers such as BMW, General Motors or VW will continue to dominate the market in 2030. Around a third of the respondents say that Chinese manufacturers of e-vehicles have the greatest opportunities, while Internet companies such as Amazon and Google have slightly fewer believers.